Renewed armed clashes in Baidoa, Bay Region, have forced thousands of civilians to flee their homes, raising serious concerns about civilian safety and access to essential services. Available reports indicate that 6,300 people were displaced between 28 September and 11 October 2026, following additional displacement earlier in September. Women, children, and older people accounted for 79% of those displaced during the early-September episode, highlighting the severe impact on vulnerable communities.
SHM’s preliminary machine-learning-based data analysis and scenario modelling indicate that continued or intensified clashes could result in nearly 100,000 people being displaced over the next three months. This is a scenario-based projection underscores the urgent need for preventive action.
SHM’s Call to Action
Somali Humanitarian Magazine calls on all parties to protect civilians, de-escalate hostilities, respect international humanitarian law, and ensure safe humanitarian access. Immediate action is essential to prevent further displacement and protect families at risk.
Emergency Monitoring and Updates
SHM has established a Standing Emergency Reporting Committee to monitor developments, verify information, and document the humanitarian consequences of the conflict.
Every verified update will be published on SHM’s Emergency News page under the official tracking reference SOM-CONFLICT-2026-10, providing a continuous and transparent record of the evolving situation.